BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Manufacturing
Index

Stepping Up – PMI

12 Nov, 2021
54.3
October
+2.7

Monthly Change

expanding
previously contracting

New Zealand’s manufacturing sector saw further steps into expansion for October, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

The seasonally adjusted PMI for October was 54.3 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining).  This was 2.7 points higher than September.

BusinessNZ’s Director, Advocacy Catherine Beard said that the increased activity for October was fairly evenly spread across the sub index values.

“The key sub-indices of Production (54.0) and New Orders (53.9) were both in positive territory for the first time since July.  Like the last national lockdown, Deliveries (59.9) led the way towards catching up on activity, although Employment (52.1) fell back to its lowest result since February.”

“In addition, the proportion of negative comments from respondents dropped to 55.4% for October, compared with 71% in September and 78% in August.”

BNZ Senior Economist, Doug Steel stated that “even though October’s reading is above average, we’d classify it more in the realm of some recovery from a large hit rather than an indication of outright strength.”

Catherine Beard

Catherine Beard

Director, Advocacy BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Manufacturing Snapshot

PMI

The Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) lifted to 54.3 in October. This builds on the 51.6 it managed to get to in September, after the extreme weakness of 39.7 during August’s level 4 restrictions. It’s a step in the right direction.
Read more

Regional

By region, Northern saw the strongest unadjusted reading, of 62.5, in October. Again, this looks like some bounce from a period of extreme weakness (remember 28.1 back in August) compared to other regions rather than necessarily portraying a strong level of activity.
Read more

Details

The PMI production index lifted to 54.0 in October. This follows two months in contraction territory, offering a sense that manufacturing output turned the corner in the month.
Read more

Employment

Through all the chop and change over recent months, employment indicators have remained positive. Sure, the PMI employment index eased to 52.1 in October from 54.2 in September, but it remains above its long-term norm.
Read more

Doug Steel

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector.

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Oct
2020
Jun
2021
Jul
2021
Aug
2021
Sep
2021
Oct
2021
BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI 51.3 59.9 62.4 39.7 51.6 54.3
Production 51.9 62.9 63.2 27.1 49.8 54.0
Employment 52.0 56.5 57.8 54.1 54.2 52.1
New Orders 52.5 62.8 63.2 44.0 54.1 53.9
Finished Stocks 49.2 56.9 56.4 45.9 50.2 54.9
Deliveries 48.6 54.6 55.1 32.9 47.9 59.9

BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

October 2017 – October 2021

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMITM

02 Nov 2021
54.3

About the PMI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

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Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations