Flat end to year – PMI 22 Jan 2021 48.7December-6.0Monthly Changecontractingpreviously expanding Catherine Beard Executive Director, ExportNZ & ManufacturingNZ View profile New Zealand's manufacturing sector experienced contraction for the last month of 2020, according to the latest BNZ - BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).The seasonally adjusted PMI for December was 48.7 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was down 6.0 points from November, and the lowest level of activity since May.BusinessNZ's executive director for manufacturing Catherine Beard said that after six consecutive months in expansion, the December result was a disappointing way to end the year."While production (51.5) managed to keep its head above water, the other key sub-index of new orders (49.9) failed to record expansion. Employment (49.9) also fell just below the 50.0 point mark, while finished stocks (45.9) and deliveries (44.5) both fell well into contraction.""Interestingly, the December value was the same as the overall average result of 48.7 for 2020. While seven of the twelve months saw expansion in the sector, the effects of COVID-19 and the subsequent lock-down saw a dramatic fall in activity during the first half of 2020 that brought the overall average down." BNZ Senior Economist, Doug Steel said that “the PMI’s three-month moving average sits at an expansionary 51.8, albeit below its long-term average of 53.0. This all suggests some expansion in the final quarter of last year, but the softer December month suggests some caution heading into the New Year."View the Time Series Data Main Indicies Regional Results Doug Steel Senior Economist, BNZ End of Year DipDecember’s Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) slipped to 48.7. This is a bit disappointing, although not completely surprising given it did follow six consecutive months being above the expansionary 50 mark including an above-average reading of 54.7 in November.Read more PatchyIt is difficult to judge the underlying trends with large swings in component details. Volatility has been more pronounced than usual in the PMI stocks of finished product component.Read more Home and AwayActual performance no doubt depends on what you are selling and to whom. For example, the latest Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion saw NZ manufacturers’ reports of local sales above average for the past three months, while reports of export sales have lifted but remain below average.Read more EmploymentThe PMI employment index eased to 49.9 in December, so back below average and edging back into contractionary territory.Read more View full BNZ Manufacturing Snapshot PMI Time Series TableThe results are seasonally adjusted. National IndiciesDec2019Aug2020Sep2020Oct2020Nov2020Dec2020 BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI 48.950.953.652.154.748.7 Production47.451.655.951.855.051.5 Employment 49.549.251.552.351.349.9 New Orders50.054.157.253.256.549.9 Finished Stocks52.850.048.849.059.245.9 Deliveries49.847.949.749.151.544.5 View the Time Series Data BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI Time Series July 2016 – December 2020 International ResultsJ.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMITM 4 Jan 202153.8 In this section Surveys & Statistics Performance of Manufacturing Index Performance of Services Index Compliance Cost Survey Exporters Survey Southern Cross Health Society - BusinessNZ Wellness in the Workplace Survey Reports & Publications BusinessNZ Planning Forecast International Guides & Tools BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI Time Series Data View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector. View website Media Comment For media comment, please contact: Catherine Beard, ExportNZ & ManufacturingNZ 04 496 6560 Doug Steel, BNZ 04 474 6799 Technical Comment For more information or assistance with data interpretation, please contact: Steve Summers 04 496 6564 ssummers@businessnz.org.nz Our Contributors The BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ's regional organisations About the PMI The BNZ - BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted. Related Articles Blooming good – PMI Steady state – PMI Now hiring – PMI Stretching out – PMI Pumping production – PMI View more