Positive frame of mind – PMI

13 Aug 2015

53.5

July

-1.6

Monthly Change

expanding

slower rate

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Catherine Beard

Executive Director,, ExportNZ & ManufacturingNZ

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New Zealand's manufacturing sector continued to show expansion for July, according to the latest BNZ - BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).
 
The seasonally adjusted PMI for July was 53.5 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining).  Although this was 1.6 points lower than June, it was still the second highest result for the last four months.  The sector has now been in expansion for 34 consecutive months.
 
BusinessNZ's executive director for manufacturing Catherine Beard said that despite the slower rate of expansion in July, the proportion of positive comments from manufacturers moved up from June.
 
"The proportion of positive comments rose from 53.6% in June to 60.8% in July.  The recent fall in the value of the New Zealand dollar came through in many positive comments, while the lower dairy payout continued to trickle through for those who listed a negative influence".
 
"Although activity in the sector has not been as strong as recent years, the fact that official figures show employment growth primarily coming from the manufacturing sector, as well as ongoing expansion in the PMI, means that the sector continues to hold its own".  
 
BNZ Senior Economist Doug Steel said it was good to see the PMI maintaining a solid pace through 2015. 

"This is supportive of economic growth ahead, although likely at a slower pace than previously achieved as the likes of the obviously intense headwind from the dairy sector filters through."

View the Time Series Data


Main Indicies

Regional Results

Manufacturing Landscape
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Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Growth Continues

The Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) indicates ongoing growth.
Read more  

Employment

The ongoing growth in the manufacturing sector, as indicated by the PMI over recent years has driven up labour demand.
Read more  

Foreign Exchange Effects

Many PMI respondents noted the lower NZD as a positive. This sentiment fits with results of other surveys.
Read more  

Dairy Impact

The extreme downturn in dairy revenue, actual and forecast, will have many downstream effects on the economy.
Read more .

View full BNZ Manufacturing Snapshot

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Jul
2014
Mar
2015
Apr
2015
May
2015
Jun
2015
Jul
2015
BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI 54.154.752.051.955.153.5
Production54.654.952.449.256.155.9
Employment 52.450.051.351.453.850.8
New Orders56.156.250.652.558.054.4
Finished Stocks51.552.752.454.851.151.7
Deliveries54.154.552.252.655.053.5

View the Time Series Data

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

July 2014 – July 2015

PMI Time Series Graph

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMITM
3 Aug 2015

51.0

International PMI